30 ’90s Predictions About The Future We Can Laugh At Since None Of Them Were Correct
Ah, the 90's. As with any decade in the past, the 1990's can be an extremely nostalgic time for many to reminisce on. From the classic sitcoms of Friends and Seinfeld to the catchy bops of the Spice Girls and Backstreet Boys, the 90's gave us so many gifts. But aside from being an excellent era for pop culture, not everything from this decade could withstand the test of time. Along with the piles of ginormous JNCO jeans sent off to local thrift stores as they faded out of style, some predictions made in the 90's can be funny to look back on as well.
Inspired by a newspaper article from 2000 titled "Internet May Be Just A Passing Fad As Millions Give Up On It" going viral on Twitter, we began digging up other hilariously inaccurate predictions from the past. Although these claims about the future did not ring true, they certainly are amusing to read today. Below you'll also find an exclusive interview featuring Dan Gardner, author of "Future Babble : Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway" and "Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction".
Enjoy this comical list we've compiled at Bored Panda, and keep in mind what Forrest Gump so wisely told us in 1994, "Life is like a box of chocolates, you never know what you're going to get."
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"Two years from now, spam will be solved" - Bill Gates, 2004
“I don’t believe that phone books, newspapers, magazines, or corner video stores will disappear as computer networks spread. Nor do I think that my telephone will merge with my computer, to become some sort of information appliance.” “Video-on-demand, that killer application of communications, will remain a dream.” - Clifford Stoll
In 1998, FourFourTwo magazine predicted David Beckham would look like this (left) in 2020. This is how he actually looks like
What moron assumed that he wouldn't have access to good dental care, that he was guaranteed to go bald, and that in 2020, this very rich and very famous London-based superstar, would, for some reason, decide to style himself like a lower-middle class American dad in '89?
“You’ll never make any money out of children’s books” – Advice to JK Rowling from Barry Cunningham, editor at Bloomsbury Books, 1996.
“The whole way that you can check somebody’s reputation will be so much more sophisticated on the Net than it is in print today” - Bill Gates
It's not that Bill is wrong, it's just that people don't want to prove themselves wrong. People have beliefs and actively seek information that confirms it and ignore when it says it's wrong. It's called confirmation bias and it pairs nastily with cognitive dissonance.
“I suspect Big Brother won’t have an easy time tracing us. … Our privacy will be protected, as it always has been, by simple obscurity and the high cost of uncovering information about us.” - Clifford Stoll, 1995
"No matter how inexpensive the machines become, I still can't imagine the average user taking one along when fishing." - Erik Sandberg-Diment
"The idea of a personal communicator in every pocket is a 'pipe dream driven by greed'." - Andy Grove, then CEO if Intel (1992)
In 1993, internet expert John Allen told CBC that he believed that our own moral code and internal rules would stop people from doing horrible things online.
"There's not a lot of cursing, or swearing. One would think if you're anonymous you could do anything you want, but people in a group have their own sense of community and what we can do."
Clifford Stoll being sceptical about online shopping, which is basically how everyone buys stuff now: "We’re promised instant catalogue shopping–just point and click for great deals. We’ll order airline tickets over the network, make restaurant reservations and negotiate sales contracts.
Stores will become obsolete. So how come my local mall does more business in an afternoon than the entire Internet handles in a month? Even if there were a trustworthy way to send money over the Internet—which there isn't—the network is missing a most essential ingredient of capitalism: salespeople."
"...Apple [is] a chaotic mess without a strategic vision and certainly no future." (1996)
This book from 1999 thought this was gonna be space in 2010. Needless to say, that didn't happen.
I was really hoping that by now we would be living like the Jetsons or at least like Back to the Future 2
Virtual reality, 90's perspective
“Admit it, you’re out of the hardware game.” - Wired Magazine challenges Apple to face up to the ‘fact’ that it can’t compete with other gadget makers, 1996
It only took 10 years after that to come up with their flagship and savior. Hooray!!!
“When high-bandwidth links allow every home to access animated, talking, holographic computerized encyclopedias, I can’t help thinking that kids still won’t use ’em.” - Clifford Stoll
In the September 4, 1998, edition of the Amarillo Daily News in Texas, writer Amy Tao made a few predictions about what life may look like in 20 years—most importantly stating that human cloning will be commonplace. "Cloning will be a big thing. Despite moral activist protests, clones of animals and human beings walk the earth. Don't feel like going to school? Send your clone! What if your dog dies suddenly? Just take out the clone of him!" she writes.
Futurist Ray Kurzweil predicted in 1999 that human life expectancy would rise to "over one hundred" by 2019
This could be closer to true if health care was available to more people.
"By the turn of the century, we will live in a paperless society." —Roger Smith, chairman of General Motors, 1986
This isn't that far off... Didn't some American schools stop teaching cursive?
It's so weird to realise just how boring and empty the internet was then. It was like a box of books no-one wanted to read. I mean there was a search engine (Explorer) but no content. None. You could type in MUSIC, I mean (what) and nothing would result. I can't even begin to describe how pointless it seemed.
that guy looks like he hosts those boring office parties that nobody likes but goes to for the free coffee. smh
Jeff Bezos in the late 90s, describing Apple Computer as an "true American tragedy", among other choice quotes of what caused Apple to bite the dust
Ines Uusuman, the Swedish minister of communication said in 1996“Internet is just a temporary fly”
I had a friend telling me in 2002 that "digital pictures will never replace film". I had been using digital cameras since the early 90's and I told him it was a matter of a few years. It took even less time.
In 1988, the Los Angeles Times magazine published a special issue predicting what life would be like in 25 years’ time. In some ways, they missed the mark completely:
Cities mandate that business stagger shifts, to ease the burden on commuting and city services.
Barcodes on our money to avoid corruption and crime and keep track of every dollar bill and who it belongs to.
Multiple families cram into single-home structures, because there's no housing. The opposite of the housing bubble that floods markets with too many empty homes.
"Almost all of the many predictions now being made about 1996 hinge on the Internet’s continuing exponential growth. But I predict the Internet, which only just recently got this section here in InfoWorld, will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse." - Robert Metcalfe
That ethernet cable that you at least used to have plugged into your computer to connect to a network? This guy invented that. Not quite so good at fortunetelling.
It was quite widely believed in the mid 1990s that the internet 'trend' could collapse because while the world wide web had been invented it was still limited in its application (and therefore its potential to transform society) because of the limitations of the supporting infrastructure that were needed to make things like e-commerce a serious proposition. And that's before people had even considered the possibility of the internet being mobile. I wouldn't condemn anyone in the mid 90s who thought that the internet had come about as far as it was going to go.
1995 quote from Clifford Stoll, of Newsweek: "The truth is no online database will replace your daily newspaper, no CD-ROM can take the place of a competent teacher and no computer network will change the way government works. Electronic publishing? Try reading a book on disc. At best, it's an unpleasant chore."
In 1994, the RAND Corporation, a global think tank that's contributed to the space program and the development of the internet, said they expected us to have animal employees by the year 2020
"The RAND panel mentioned that by the year 2020 it may be possible to breed intelligent species of animals, such as apes, that will be capable of performing manual labor," Glenn T. Seaborg wrote of the corporation's prediction in his book "Scientist Speaks Out"
In the January 1997 issue of Popular Mechanics, the electronics editor wrote that the internet became so flooded with users at the time that "nobody bothers to go online anymore."
"We were afraid that if the internet's underlying infrastructure didn't improve, the volume of users would make the internet so slow that it would essentially become useless."
I think it's easy now to make fun of these doomsday theories but back then the internet was not very useful, it was expensive, it had a lot of issues working and there really wasn't much to do with it especially for the average consumer. I really don't think these were potshots but actually people assessing what was happening and extrapolating that based on logic and supporting evidence. Clearly wrong, but at the time in no way we're they off base or tone deaf.
In 1998 there was already plenty to do on the internet and while it was expensive it was accessible to and used by normal people. So a lot of these predictions were already not very smart.
Load More Replies...This reminds me of the time I came across a newspaper from the early 80s which featured two noteworthy articles on the same page, one of which was about what an awesome guy/national treasure Rolf Harris is, and the other of which was announcing that Elton John was getting married to a woman.With the benefit of hindsight it was a very weird thing to encounter.
Wow this is definitely strange, weird, funny with hindsight
Load More Replies...I think it's easy now to make fun of these doomsday theories but back then the internet was not very useful, it was expensive, it had a lot of issues working and there really wasn't much to do with it especially for the average consumer. I really don't think these were potshots but actually people assessing what was happening and extrapolating that based on logic and supporting evidence. Clearly wrong, but at the time in no way we're they off base or tone deaf.
In 1998 there was already plenty to do on the internet and while it was expensive it was accessible to and used by normal people. So a lot of these predictions were already not very smart.
Load More Replies...This reminds me of the time I came across a newspaper from the early 80s which featured two noteworthy articles on the same page, one of which was about what an awesome guy/national treasure Rolf Harris is, and the other of which was announcing that Elton John was getting married to a woman.With the benefit of hindsight it was a very weird thing to encounter.
Wow this is definitely strange, weird, funny with hindsight
Load More Replies...
