Oh… irony, how sweet you sometimes are. You know how the things we say can come around to haunt us? The test of time is a tough nut to crack, and this time, it’s all about failing.
The Facebook page "Posts that did not age well" is a hell on earth, showing how quotes, comments, posts, and everything you saw online some time ago did not age gracefully. In fact, some of the things look so utterly ridiculous in the current light, it may make you wonder what the heck they were thinkin’. So let’s go down this cringy memory lane, and after you’re done, be sure to check out part 1.
If humans could see the future, this post would probably have not existed. Because there’s nothing quite like failing the test of time. All the things you believed and said look more or less absurd in retrospect. Unless your job is predicting the future for a living.
Mysterious as it sounds, seeing what comes next is complex, critical, and quite a different job than the myths suggest. Paul Saffo, a technology forecaster in Silicon Valley, wrote in a piece for Harvard Business Review that “prediction is concerned with future certainty.” And that alone sounds quite paradoxical.
Paul explains further: “forecasting looks at how hidden currents in the present signal possible changes in direction for companies, societies, or the world at large.” Thus the goal of forecasting is to “identify the full range of possibilities.”
Plus, “unlike a prediction, a forecast must have a logic to it,” says Paul. That means that the forecaster must always be able to articulate, explain, and defend this logic. “That’s what lifts forecasting out of the dark realm of superstition,” argues Paul. In the end, forecasting is “nothing more (nor less) than the systematic and disciplined application of common sense.” And that common sense is something we all have.