ADVERTISEMENT

One of the most famous pieces of research on prediction was done by Philip Tetlock. He asked a group of pundits and foreign affairs experts to speculate about various geopolitical events, like whether the Soviet Union would disintegrate by 1993.

Interestingly, the "experts" struggled to perform better than "dart-throwing chimps," and were consistently less accurate than even relatively simple statistical algorithms. This was true of both liberals and conservatives, and regardless of professional credentials.

What Tetlock also uncovered was that people who preferred to consider multiple explanations and balance them together had superior results to those who relied on a single big idea.

So since our guess can be as good as any, Reddit user Tasty_likesugar decided to ask random minds on the internet to share the things they believe will almost certainly happen in the next three decades. Below are the replies they've received.

Click here & follow us for more lists, facts, and stories.

This post may include affiliate links.

#1

45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years More extreme weather events.

Left-Middle7392 , Johannes Plenio Report

Final score:
1point
POST
RELATED:
    #2

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Resource wars.

    RVBlumensaat , cottonbro studio Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    #3

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Climate change will begin to have a significant impact on society, we're already heading towards it and there's really nothing we can do to stop it without a major shift in policy.

    zerbey , Pixabay Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    #4

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years The retirement age will have gone up again.

    Petrus_Rock , Pixabay Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #5

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Flooding will displace millions worldwide.

    JosephYoungr33ou , GEORGE DESIPRIS Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #6

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years We *are* going to see some more bacteria beyond TB and a small number of others that are completely resistant to even last-line antibiotics, and *many* more that are resistant to first and second line treatments.

    My group just published our first paper on *P. Aeruginosa,* it's the biggest genomic study of isolates from patients that we know; we sequenced just shy of 3,000 genomes taken all across the world.

    **All** of them bar the isolates from ONE patient had a group of 6 genes conferring increased resistance to beta-lactams ([all of these](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_%CE%B2-lactam_antibiotics)), fosfomycin, aminoglycosides (eg. Streptomycin) , chloramphenicol, and two different mutations in a d**g efflux pump. The one patient that didn't had the genetic region for the beta-lactam resistance deleted.

    Antibiotic resistance already k*lls millions, and its going to k*ll millions more. Most of those are going to be the poor and people living in under-resourced countries.

    Hayred , Edward Jenner Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #7

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years The rich, getting richer.

    urandomguy , freepik Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    #8

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Some animals going extinct.

    giuli_wild , Laura The Explaura Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #9

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years We’ll all be using tech that seems like sci-fi now.

    deinekimfischer , cottonbro studio Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    #10

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Space debris will be a problem.

    AlbatrossFickle4894 , Abdullah Toppınar Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #11

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years World hunger, food deficit.

    True_beauty00 , cottonbro studio Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    #12

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Governments will invest more in green infrastructure.

    lacaxiqekifika , Tom Swinnen Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #13

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Many developed countries will run into serious health and economic issues due to aging populations.

    BinaryPill , Lara Jameson Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    #14

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Scientists will discover life or evidence of life on other planets.

    Budget_Marionberry78 , eberhard grossgasteiger Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #15

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Another pandemic maybe, sounds scary but could happen sadly.

    Willy_cutie_ , Anna Shvets Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST

    Never miss a story that brings joy to the world. Follow on Google News

    #16

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Something maybe even scarier then the atomic bomb being made.

    giligili__ , Pixabay Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #17

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Technology getting even weirder than it already is.

    VibrantTaro , Harsch Shivam Report

    Final score:
    1point
    POST
    #18

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years A horrific pandemic that will make COVID look like “the good old days.” I’m talking *Captain Trips* levels of global mortality.

    The United States will be particularly hard-hit, as nearly 50% of the population will refuse to mask, isolate, get vaccinated, or take any other science-based action to slow down the spread.

    seaboardist , Anna Shvets Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #19

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Whoever is reading this finding happiness.

    Automatic-Prompt-450 , Belle Co Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #20

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years There will be more effective d***s to slow down the progression of Alzheimer's. At least I hope so.

    000-Luck , Kampus Production Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #21

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years I won't understand the youth's slang, and their music will [be bad].

    johnnybiggles , freepik Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #22

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years People in this thread being wrong.

    theintrovert48 , wayhomestudio Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #23

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years The rest of the movie Idiocracy.

    User , Lê Minh Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #24

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years The remaining books for Game of Thrones will still not be released.

    Cinner21 , Pixabay Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #25

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years A civil war in Russia, followed by fragmentation into perpetually-warring separatist states.

    OnceWasRampant , Pixabay Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #26

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years The record breaking global temperatures of 2023 will be cold in comparison to future global temperatures.

    MudNo6683 , RF._.studio Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #27

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years If we stay on this trajectory then there will be no middle class.

    User , Jorge Zapata Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #28

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years People reminiscing that life was better 30 years ago.

    Dr-Maturin , SHVETS production Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #29

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years My guess is ill still be living off ramen and wishing i had more money for snacks... just a hunch.

    pixiemiooy , Cats Coming Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #30

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years More riots in the US, most likely over pricing, or political b******t.

    Nice_Leg_7622 , freepik Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #31

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Some coastal cities will invest in floating architecture.

    Best_Barracuda451 , Molnár Tamás Photography™ Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #32

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Mass migration from SE Asia during fatal wet bulb events.

    User , Leena Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #33

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years More people will live in vertical farms.

    MichelleHill770e2 , freepik Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #34

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years No more polar ice caps.

    shackelman_unchained , Jean-Christophe André Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #35

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Let's be a bit optimistic

    Self-driving, electric cars/buses/trucks becoming ubiquitous
    Augmented reality becoming a daily thing for most people, in the form of glasses mostly
    Working on ultraportable virtual screens
    Alexa-like device in every home coordinating various functions
    Cancer becoming a disease we can live with and cure for the most part
    True decline of fossil resources because of the availability of dirt-cheap solar power paired with convenient energy storage
    Modular nuclear reactors
    Wireless self-charging of consumer devices
    Nuclear fusion?
    Who knows what with AI, this one is truly an open question how far it can go.

    Glxblt76 , ThisIsEngineering Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #36

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years More subscription services.

    User , rawpixel.com Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #37

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years The first man on Mars.

    Appropriate_Solid532 , SpaceX Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #38

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Me getting married.

    I have faith.

    lan0028456 , Emma Bauso Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #39

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years We reach 2°C above pre-industrial levels.

    KmetPalca , Mario Spencer Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #40

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years The humankind will invent its way out of the catastrophes we fear today. What will the way be and whether it's better than our current situation or not, I don't know. Also, there will be something else to worry about by then.

    User , Ahmed akacha Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #41

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years 8 of “the most important election of our lifetime”.

    PixieBaronicsi , Element5 Digital Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #42

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Fusion power plants being 30 years away.

    inkseep1 , Johannes Plenio Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #43

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Half-Life 3 won't be released.

    Administrative_Ad93 , Matilda Wormwood Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    #44

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years People 70 and above today will die.

    tacknosaddle , Mario Wallner Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST
    ADVERTISEMENT
    ADVERTISEMENT
    #45

    45 Predictions People Say Are Almost Certain In The Next 30 Years Another sequel to Frozen.

    User , freepik Report

    Final score:
    0points
    POST

    You Might Also Like: 47 Interesting Historical Pictures That Might Teach You Something New About Our World
    Follow